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China will likely wait until early next year to cut policy rates to support the economy, though other forms of easing before the end of 2023 via trims to shorter-term rates or reserve ratios are still in the cards.
Chinese leaders are making their most forceful push yet to end the nation’s property crisis, ramping up pressure on banks to plug an estimated US$446bn (RM2tn) shortfall in funding needed to stabilise the industry and deliver millions of unfinished apartments.
Singapore's economy grew faster than initial estimates in the third quarter, helped by a resurgence in tourism and service sector activity, although authorities warned of risks to the outlook from inflation and geopolitics.
Nearing the end of a tumultuous year for assets in developing countries, a key index of emerging-market currencies is poised for its best performance since 2017 as a late rally pushed investors to lock in higher yields while they still can.
China left benchmark lending rates unchanged at a monthly fixing, matching expectations
India’s central bank is clamping down on risky consumer lending as the economy booms, a move that’s likely to hurt banks but only have a limited impact on growth.
A trade meeting between the US and European Union due to take place next month is expected to slip to early next year as the two allies remain deadlocked in talks about steel and critical minerals.
US short-term inflation expectations climbed to a seven-month high in November and longer-run price views remained at levels not seen since 2011.
Federal Reserve policymakers at their most recent meeting united around a strategy to “proceed carefully” on future interest-rate moves and base any further tightening on progress toward their inflation goal.
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Mid 4Q2023 Outlook
15 Nov 2023
A Break in the Clouds
Healthy growth and falling treasury yields improve the risk reward for US equities. China is on an uneven recovery path; stay invested given trough valuations and policy support.
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